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Aljustrelense vs Moura AC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense Logo

Aljustrelense

2 - 1
FT
Moura AC Logo

Moura AC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aljustrelense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aljustrelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aljustrelense
30%
Draws
31%
Moura AC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aljustrelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moura AC lately — more wins on the board than Aljustrelense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 21%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aljustrelense Moura AC
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Moura AC
2:1
Jan 13, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Aljustrelense
0:1
Nov 27, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Aljustrelense
2:1
Aug 28, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Moura AC
2:3
May 17, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Aljustrelense
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aljustrelense 37 / 100
Moura AC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aljustrelense Moura AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moura AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moura AC has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Aljustrelense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Moura AC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aljustrelense VS Moura AC
0.83 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aljustrelense

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
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Moura AC

(Away)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 20 15 5 0 49:20 50
2 Amora 20 13 5 2 34:13 44
3 Olhanense 20 10 5 5 27:17 35
4 Louletano 20 8 10 2 30:18 34
5 Moncarapachense 20 6 7 7 22:21 25
6 Pinhalnovense 20 7 4 9 26:30 25
7 Juv. Evora 20 6 6 8 27:36 24
8 Esperanca de Lagos 20 6 5 9 25:26 23
9 Lusitano GC 20 6 5 9 19:23 23
10 Aljustrelense 20 4 2 14 12:41 14
11 Moura AC 20 0 4 16 17:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)