Sport Picks
Match Events
51'
51'
Luseke M.
80'
80'
Buswita P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Polisi Tanzania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Polisi Tanzania lately — more wins on the board than Alliance.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Alliance Clean Sheet 22%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alliance | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 43 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 24, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Alliance vs Polisi Tanzania
1:1
Nov 3, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Alliance
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alliance Compare
Top Goalscorer Luseke M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Polisi Tanzania Compare
Top Goalscorer Buswita P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alliance 37 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alliance Polisi Tanzania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alliance found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Polisi Tanzania let in goals in 65% of their last 43 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Alliance stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Polisi Tanzania
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alliance
(Home) 26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
19 Jul
Simba
5 : 1 Alliance
15 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Alliance
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Alliance
3 : 2 Namungo
23 Jul
Alliance
2 : 2 Ndanda
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0 Lipuli
05 Jul
Alliance
1 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Alliance
1 : 0 Coastal Union
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Polisi Tanzania
(Away) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
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29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4 Polisi Tanzania
09 Jun
Azam
8 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
