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Almancilense vs Operario

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018
Almancilense Logo

Almancilense

1 - 2
FT
Operario Logo

Operario

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Operario in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Almancilense
20%
Draws
0%
Operario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almancilense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario have won more games recently than Almancilense.
  • Model gives Almancilense a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Almancilense Clean Sheet 20%
Operario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almancilense Operario
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Almancilense vs Operario
1:2
Sep 10, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Operario vs Almancilense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almancilense 85 / 100
Operario 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almancilense Operario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almancilense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario has conceded goals in 82% of their last 38 outings.

Away concern: Operario has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Almancilense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Almancilense

(Home)
09 Sept
Almancilense
0 : 1
Moura AC
22 Apr
Almancilense
5 : 3
Montijo
15 Apr
Armacenenses
0 : 0
Almancilense
08 Apr
Almancilense
0 : 2
SC Farense
31 Mar
Castrense
1 : 1
Almancilense
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Operario

(Away)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Farense 30 26 3 1 66:12 81
2 Oriental 30 19 6 5 40:19 63
3 Olhanense 30 18 4 8 42:30 58
4 Casa Pia 30 16 5 9 50:31 53
5 Pinhalnovense 30 13 7 10 43:29 46
6 Louletano 30 13 5 12 43:39 44
7 Armacenenses 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
8 Moura AC 30 12 5 13 41:38 41
9 Montijo 30 9 10 11 40:44 37
10 Sporting Ideal 30 10 5 15 29:38 35
11 Estrela Vendas Novas 30 8 8 14 32:54 32
12 Operario 30 7 9 14 35:46 30
13 Almancilense 30 7 7 16 33:50 28
14 Castrense 30 5 11 14 32:47 26
15 Lusitano VRSA 30 6 7 17 24:49 25
16 Moncarapachense 30 6 5 19 27:53 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)