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Almazan vs Numancia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Martinez D.
43' Event
Bernardo Villanueva Latorre J.
48' Event
Jimenez H.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Almazan and Numancia B finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Almazan
20%
Draws
10%
Numancia B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Almazan come out ahead of Numancia B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Almazan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Almazan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Almazan Clean Sheet 19%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almazan Numancia B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.46 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Numancia B
5:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Almazan
0:2
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Almazan
2:0
Sep 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Numancia B
1:0
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Numancia B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Almazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardo Villanueva Latorre J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Numancia B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almazan 85 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almazan Numancia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Numancia B conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Almazan scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Almazan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almazan VS Numancia B
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Almazan

(Home)
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca B
10 May
Almazan
1 : 1
Santa Marta Tormes
01 May
La Virgen
1 : 2
Almazan
26 Apr
Almazan
0 : 1
Mansilles
23 Apr
Mansilles
1 : 0
Almazan
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Numancia B

(Away)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)