Sport Picks
Almirante Brown vs Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova 
Match Events
30'
30'
Altamirano G.
55'
55'
Sub
Altamirano G. In: Gauna S.
Out: Altamirano G.
55'
55'
Sub
Vera S. In: Martinez E.
Out: Vera S.
AI Match Summary
Defensores de Belgrano in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensores de Belgrano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Almirante Brown
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Defensores de Belgrano haven't matched Almirante Brown's recent run of results.
- Almirante Brown are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Defensores de Belgrano have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Almirante Brown | Defensores de Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Defensores de Belgrano
1:2
Jun 6, 2025 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
1:1
Sep 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
3:0
May 4, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Almirante Brown Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Defensores de Belgrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tcherkaski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Almirante Brown 68 / 100
Defensores de Belgrano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Almirante Brown Defensores de Belgrano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Almirante Brown remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Almirante Brown found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Difficult form: Defensores de Belgrano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Almirante Brown VS Defensores de Belgrano
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Almirante Brown
(Home) 17 Jul
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 CA Estudiantes
11 Jul
All Boys
1 : 1 Almirante Brown
04 Jul
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Los Andes
21 Jun
Almirante Brown
3 : 1 CA Mitre
14 Jun
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 CA Estudiantes
04 Jul
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Los Andes
21 Jun
Almirante Brown
3 : 1 CA Mitre
14 Jun
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Godoy Cruz
30 May
Almirante Brown
1 : 1 Colon Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
Defensores de Belgrano
(Away) 12 Jul
Godoy Cruz
1 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
04 Jul
Defensores de Belgrano
2 : 1 Deportivo Moron
21 Jun
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 1 All Boys
13 Jun
Defensores de Belgrano
0 : 3 Colon Santa Fe
06 Jun
San Miguel
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Godoy Cruz
1 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
06 Jun
San Miguel
0 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
24 May
Acassuso
1 : 0 Defensores de Belgrano
11 May
Ferro
2 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
26 Apr
Deportivo Madryn
2 : 1 Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 25:14 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29:19 | 35 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27:17 | 35 |
| 4 | Ciudad Bolivar | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 21:17 | 34 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19:8 | 32 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 15:13 | 31 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 19:18 | 31 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20:17 | 28 |
| 10 | San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20:25 | 24 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 13 | All Boys | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13:20 | 22 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20:27 | 21 |
| 15 | San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15:23 | 19 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12:21 | 19 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17:26 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:22 | 38 |
| 2 | Temperley | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 36 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 18:11 | 36 |
| 5 | Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21:15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin T. | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 20:17 | 30 |
| 7 | Atl. Rafaela | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 16:18 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27:21 | 29 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 18:19 | 26 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16:22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18:16 | 24 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18:20 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 16:22 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13:17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 15:25 | 20 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)