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Almodovar vs Louletano

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014
Almodovar Logo

Almodovar

0 - 2
FT
Louletano Logo

Louletano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 game between Almodovar and Louletano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Almodovar
15%
Draws
68%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Louletano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Louletano taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group H 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Louletano have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Almodovar Clean Sheet 13%
Louletano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almodovar Louletano
Matches Played 30 45
Wins 4 28
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Louletano
0:2
Mar 23, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Louletano vs Almodovar
2:0
Jan 26, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Almodovar vs Louletano
2:1
Nov 17, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Louletano vs Almodovar
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almodovar 10 / 100
Louletano 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almodovar Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Almodovar scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Louletano has conceded goals in 53% of their last 45 outings.

Almodovar went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Louletano
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Almodovar

(Home)
21 Sept
SC Espinho
5 : 1
Almodovar
23 Sept
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
Almodovar
03 Sept
Almodovar
5 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
17 May
Moura AC
5 : 0
Almodovar
11 May
Almodovar
0 : 2
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

Louletano

(Away)
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2
Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moura AC 14 8 4 2 26:11 44
2 Louletano 14 7 5 2 22:12 37
3 Uniao Montemor 14 6 7 1 21:14 37
4 CDR Quarteirense 14 6 5 3 25:16 35
5 Cova De Piedade 14 5 3 6 23:25 31
6 FC Barreirense 14 4 6 4 16:17 28
7 Esperanca de Lagos 14 2 3 9 10:28 15
8 Almodovar 14 0 3 11 10:30 10
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)