Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Almudevar vs Valdefierro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Almudevar in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almudevar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Almudevar
15%
Draws
42%
Valdefierro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almudevar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Valdefierro haven't matched Almudevar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Almudevar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 68%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Almudevar Valdefierro
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.29 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Almudevar
0:1
Apr 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Valdefierro
2:0
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Valdefierro
0:0
Nov 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Almudevar
2:0
Feb 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Valdefierro
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Almudevar 50 / 100
Valdefierro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Almudevar Valdefierro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almudevar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valdefierro conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Almudevar found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Valdefierro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Almudevar VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Almudevar

(Home)
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0
Almudevar
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Valdefierro

(Away)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
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