Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alsterbruder vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Netzbandt M.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Netzbandt M.
55' Event
Netzbandt M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 game between Alsterbruder and Turkiye Wilhelmsburg finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turkiye Wilhelmsburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alsterbruder
40%
Draws
29%
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Turkiye Wilhelmsburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Turkiye Wilhelmsburg have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 19%
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alsterbruder Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0:6
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Alsterbruder
4:0
Mar 9, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg vs Alsterbruder
2:1
Aug 6, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alsterbruder Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Netzbandt M.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Ikeda K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alsterbruder 32 / 100
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alsterbruder Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Alsterbruder scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Alsterbruder went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alsterbruder

(Home)
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5
Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4
Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2
Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2
Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2
Alsterbruder
Page 1 of 6

Turkiye Wilhelmsburg

(Away)
15 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
0 : 6
Paloma
10 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
8 : 6
Halstenbek-Rellingen
05 May
Vorwarts-Wacker
2 : 2
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
03 May
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
1 : 3
SC Victoria Hamburg
25 Apr
Teutonia Ottensen
0 : 4
Turkiye Wilhelmsburg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Altona34257299:3082
2Dassendorf34264498:3282
3Eimsbutteler34224896:4870
4Paloma34224884:5470
5ETSV Hamburg342031196:5063
6Niendorfer TSV34187978:4461
7HEBC Hamburg341651356:4553
8Vorwarts-Wacker341551486:9750
9TSV Buchholz 08341441670:7646
10Suderelbe341351670:8344
11SC Victoria Hamburg341251769:7341
12Sasel341171660:7340
13Turkiye Wilhelmsburg341061873:9436
14Harksheide34981763:8935
15Halstenbek-Rellingen341051953:8335
16TSV Concordia34852147:8829
17Alsterbruder34742337:9025
18Hamburger III34322945:13111
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)