Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Abylaykhan R.
Assist: Martin D.
35'
35'
Kukeev Z.
46'
46'
Sub
Stoisavljevic D. In: Mitrofanov D.
Out: Stoisavljevic D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ulytau lately — more wins on the board than Altai.
- Altai are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Ulytau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ulytau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Altai Clean Sheet 68%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Altai | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Altai
0:3
Apr 30, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Ulytau
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Ulytau
1:2
Aug 22, 2024 First League
Altai vs Ulytau
0:4
Jul 4, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Altai
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Altai Compare
Top Goalscorer Gorshunov E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Saylybaev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ulytau Compare
Top Goalscorer Abylaykhan R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chalkin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Altai 68 / 100
Ulytau 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Altai Ulytau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Altai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Altai found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Ulytau has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Ulytau registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Altai VS Ulytau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Altai
(Home) 18 Sept
Altai
1 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3 Altai
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Altai
1 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
08 Aug
Altai
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
19 Jul
Altai
2 : 4 Aktobe
Page 1 of 3
Ulytau
(Away) 18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2 Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3 Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1 Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2 Ulytau
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1 Ulytau
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1 Ulytau
08 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
1 : 1 Ulytau
18 Jul
Zhenis
1 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
