Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Abylaykhan R.
Assist: Martin D.
35'
35'
Kukeev Z.
46'
46'
Sub
Stoisavljevic D. In: Mitrofanov D.
Out: Stoisavljevic D.
AI Match Summary
Altai in this Kazakhstan Cup tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Altai at 1.13 per game, Ulytau at 0.63.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Ulytau, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ulytau have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Altai Clean Sheet 23%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Altai | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Ulytau
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Ulytau
1:2
Aug 22, 2024 First League
Altai vs Ulytau
0:4
Jul 4, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Altai
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Altai Compare
Top Goalscorer Gorshunov E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Saylybaev O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Ulytau Compare
Top Goalscorer Abylaykhan R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chalkin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Altai 37 / 100
Ulytau 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Altai Ulytau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ULY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Altai scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Ulytau has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Altai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Altai VS Ulytau
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Altai
(Home) 19 Jul
Altai
2 : 4 Aktobe
15 Jul
Ordabasy
3 : 1 Altai
11 Jul
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1 Altai
04 Jul
Altai
1 : 0 Tobol
28 Jun
Tobol
3 : 1 Altai
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Altai
2 : 4 Aktobe
04 Jul
Altai
1 : 0 Tobol
20 Jun
Altai
3 : 3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
27 May
Altai
1 : 1 FC Astana
22 May
Altai
0 : 1 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 3
Ulytau
(Away) 18 Jul
Zhenis
1 : 1 Ulytau
12 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
05 Jul
Ordabasy
1 : 0 Ulytau
28 Jun
Ulytau
0 : 1 Ordabasy
20 Jun
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ulytau
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Zhenis
1 : 1 Ulytau
05 Jul
Ordabasy
1 : 0 Ulytau
20 Jun
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ulytau
27 May
Ertis Pavlodar
1 : 1 Ulytau
22 May
FC Astana
3 : 0 Ulytau
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik2
Ordabasy4
FC Ekibastuz0
Kaspij Aktau4
Jas Qyran0
Atyrau4
Karshiga Almaty0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
Arys0
Aktobe4
Turan1
Yelimay Semey4
Jelaev Nan0
Altai2
Taraz0
Ulytau1
Talas0
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Jaiyq1
Kairat Almaty3
BKS1
FC Astana2
Ansat0
Tobol8
Shakhter Karagandy2
Okzhetpes3
Chromtau1
Zhenis4
SD Family-
Ertis Pavlodar-
Khan Tengri0
Kyzylzhar1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
Atyrau0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan2
Aktobe2
Yelimay Semey1
Altai4
Ulytau3
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Kairat Almaty1
FC Astana1
Tobol2
Okzhetpes2
Zhenis3
Ertis Pavlodar1
Kyzylzhar2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Aktobe1
Altai2
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Tobol1
Zhenis2
Kyzylzhar0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy3
Altai1
Kaisar Kyzylorda-
Zhenis-
Final
TBD-
TBD-