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Altavilla vs FC Obermais

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ghiotti E.
66' Event
Righetti N.
77' Event
Arma R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Altavilla in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Altavilla
30%
Draws
34%
FC Obermais
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Altavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Obermais average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Altavilla's 0.38.
  • Model gives Altavilla a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Altavilla Clean Sheet 20%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altavilla FC Obermais
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 14 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group C
FC Obermais vs Altavilla
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Altavilla vs FC Obermais
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Righetti N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

FC Obermais Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghiotti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altavilla 36 / 100
FC Obermais 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altavilla FC Obermais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Obermais's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Altavilla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Altavilla found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Altavilla VS FC Obermais
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altavilla

(Home)
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
26 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
Mestre
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0
Altavilla
12 Apr
Altavilla
1 : 0
San Luigi
02 Apr
Altavilla
0 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 6

FC Obermais

(Away)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
10 May
San Luigi
1 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
San Luigi
1 : 1
FC Obermais
26 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Conegliano
19 Apr
FC Obermais
0 : 0
Altavilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Additional match)