Sport Picks
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
Iran
Hazfi Cup Imam Khomeini, Arak 
Match Events
5'
5'
Marzban R.
77'
77'
Ramezani A.
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Malavan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Malavan carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Malavan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Malavan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Malavan Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aluminium Arak | Malavan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:2
May 8, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:1
Dec 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aluminium Arak Compare
Top Goalscorer Marzban R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Malavan Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramezani A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aluminium Arak 41 / 100
Malavan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aluminium Arak Malavan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Aluminium Arak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Aluminium Arak scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.
Malavan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Aluminium Arak VS Malavan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aluminium Arak
(Home) 20 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1 Paykan
13 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0 Aluminium Arak
07 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 0 Zob Ahan
01 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Aluminium Arak
27 Jan
Aluminium Arak
0 : 1 Tractor
Page 1 of 6
20 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1 Paykan
07 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 0 Zob Ahan
27 Jan
Aluminium Arak
0 : 1 Tractor
18 Jan
Aluminium Arak
1 : 2 Gol Gohar
26 Dec
Aluminium Arak
0 : 1 Malavan
Page 1 of 3
Malavan
(Away) 22 Feb
Malavan
1 : 1 Tractor
14 Feb
Kheybar Khorramabad
1 : 0 Malavan
08 Feb
Malavan
1 : 0 Persepolis
03 Feb
Gol Gohar
1 : 0 Malavan
29 Jan
Malavan
1 : 0 Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6
14 Feb
Kheybar Khorramabad
1 : 0 Malavan
03 Feb
Gol Gohar
1 : 0 Malavan
17 Jan
Sepahan
0 : 0 Malavan
30 Dec
Tractor
3 : 0 Malavan
26 Dec
Aluminium Arak
0 : 1 Malavan
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Foolad Hormozgan2
Chooka Talesh0
Esteghlal TEH2
Padyab Khalkhal1
Havadar SC3
Bargh1
Saipa1
Mazandaran0
Gol Gohar1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm0
Mes Rafsanjan1
Damash Gilan0
Aluminium Arak1
Malavan2
Mes Shahr Babak1
Fajr Sepasi0
Besat Kermanshah0
Naft Gachsaran1
Paykan2
Shahrdari Noshahr0
Esteghlal Khuzestan0
Foolad3
Chadormalu1
Zob Ahan0
Mes Kerman0
Sepahan1
Kheybar Khorramabad2
KIA FA1
Shams Azar Qazvin3
Niroye Zamini2
Tractor2
Persepolis1
1/8-finals
Foolad Hormozgan0
Esteghlal TEH2
Havadar SC2
Saipa3
Gol Gohar1
Mes Rafsanjan0
Malavan3
Mes Shahr Babak0
Naft Gachsaran0
Paykan1
Foolad2
Chadormalu0
Sepahan1
Kheybar Khorramabad3
Shams Azar Qazvin-
Tractor-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-