Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminium Arak vs Malavan

Iran Iran

Hazfi Cup Imam Khomeini, Arak
Sat, Nov 22, 2025
1 - 2
01:00 PM
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Match Events

5' Event
Marzban R.
77' Event
Ramezani A.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aluminium Arak
30%
Draws
28%
Malavan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Malavan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aluminium Arak taking it.
  • Malavan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Malavan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Malavan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Malavan
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.85 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:2
May 8, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:1
Dec 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminium Arak Compare

Top Goalscorer Marzban R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Malavan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramezani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 86 / 100
Malavan 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Malavan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aluminium Arak has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aluminium Arak scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Malavan has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Malavan
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
18 Aug
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

Malavan

(Away)
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Malavan
2 : 1
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Foolad Hormozgan 2
Chooka Talesh 0
Esteghlal TEH 2
Padyab Khalkhal 1
Havadar SC 3
Bargh 1
Saipa 1
Mazandaran 0
Gol Gohar 1
Shenavarsazi Qeshm 0
Mes Rafsanjan 1
Damash Gilan 0
Aluminium Arak 1
Malavan 2
Mes Shahr Babak 1
Fajr Sepasi 0
Besat Kermanshah 0
Naft Gachsaran 1
Paykan 2
Shahrdari Noshahr 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan 0
Foolad 3
Chadormalu 1
Zob Ahan 0
Mes Kerman 0
Sepahan 1
Kheybar Khorramabad 2
KIA FA 1
Shams Azar Qazvin 3
Niroye Zamini 2
Tractor 2
Persepolis 1
1/8-finals
Foolad Hormozgan 0
Esteghlal TEH 2
Havadar SC 2
Saipa 3
Gol Gohar 1
Mes Rafsanjan 0
Malavan 3
Mes Shahr Babak 0
Naft Gachsaran 0
Paykan 1
Foolad 2
Chadormalu 0
Sepahan 1
Kheybar Khorramabad 3
Shams Azar Qazvin -
Tractor -
Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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