Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Gusan J.
(Penalty)
27'
27'
Gusan J.
32'
32'
Cipriano S.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 game between Alverca U19 and SC Farense U19 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Farense U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Farense U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- SC Farense U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors SC Farense U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 20%
SC Farense U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alverca U19 | SC Farense U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs SC Farense U19
2:3
Jan 6, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs SC Farense U19
1:0
Oct 5, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
SC Farense U19 vs Alverca U19
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alverca U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lino J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sadio F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
SC Farense U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Gusan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cipriano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alverca U19 31 / 100
SC Farense U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alverca U19 SC Farense U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alverca U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Alverca U19 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
SC Farense U19 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
SC Farense U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alverca U19 VS SC Farense U19
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 60%
13% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Alverca U19
(Home) 19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Casa Pia U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
Page 1 of 3
SC Farense U19
(Away) 19 Sept
SC Farense U19
0 : 1 Sporting CP U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1 SC Farense U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2 Mafra U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
08 Aug
SC Farense U19
0 : 0 Torreense U19
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1 SC Farense U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
26 Apr
Belenenses U19
1 : 0 SC Farense U19
05 Apr
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 SC Farense U19
30 Mar
Mafra U19
4 : 0 SC Farense U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Braga U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Feirense U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Rio Ave U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Moreirense U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Famalicao U19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 9 | Academico Viseu U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Vizela U19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP U19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Benfica U19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 4 | Mafra U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | 8 |
| 5 | Torreense U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Clara U19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Casa Pia U19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 8 | SC Farense U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 9 | Leiria U19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 10 | Alverca U19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
