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Alzenau vs Freiberg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Polauke P.
14' Event
Sitter L.
24' Event
Rega L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Alzenau
35%
Draws
45%
Freiberg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Freiberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freiberg lately — more wins on the board than Alzenau.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Freiberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 10%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alzenau Freiberg
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.69 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest
Alzenau vs Freiberg
3:3
Nov 15, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest
Freiberg vs Alzenau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alzenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Sitter L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Boutakhrit J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Freiberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Polauke P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rega L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzenau 10 / 100
Freiberg 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alzenau Freiberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alzenau's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Freiberg has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Alzenau remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alzenau VS Freiberg
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alzenau

(Home)
12 Sept
Hadamar
3 : 0
Alzenau
09 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 0
Hanauer SC
05 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 2
CSC 03 Kassel
30 Aug
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Alzenau
22 Aug
Alzenau
1 : 1
Hummetroth
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Freiberg

(Away)
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
29 Aug
Freiberg
2 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II
22 Aug
VfR Mannheim
0 : 0
Freiberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 20 8 6 86:43 68
2 Freiberg 34 18 8 8 68:38 62
3 FSV Frankfurt 34 16 9 9 64:48 57
4 FC 08 Homburg 34 15 11 8 71:42 56
5 TSV Steinbach Haiger 34 16 8 10 78:58 56
6 Kassel 34 15 9 10 62:51 54
7 Stutt. Kickers 34 17 3 14 51:44 54
8 Sandhausen 34 16 6 12 53:56 54
9 Mainz II 34 14 11 9 52:45 53
10 Fulda-Lehnerz 34 13 10 11 51:44 49
11 Freiburg II 34 14 6 14 74:73 48
12 Astoria Walldorf 34 13 8 13 64:65 47
13 Eintracht Trier 34 13 8 13 48:52 47
14 Kickers Offenbach 34 11 10 13 57:58 43
15 Alzenau 34 7 6 21 45:74 27
16 Schott Mainz 34 7 4 23 40:83 25
17 Balingen 34 6 7 21 38:87 25
18 Bahlinger 34 4 10 20 34:75 22
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)