Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alzenau vs Kelsterbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017
Alzenau Logo

Alzenau

4 - 1
FT
Kelsterbach Logo

Kelsterbach

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017 game between Alzenau and Kelsterbach finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alzenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alzenau
15%
Draws
51%
Kelsterbach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kelsterbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Kelsterbach haven't matched Alzenau's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Alzenau taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 12%
Kelsterbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alzenau Kelsterbach
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.79 1.2
Goals Conceded 2 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Kelsterbach vs Alzenau
2:4
Oct 22, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Kelsterbach
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzenau 38 / 100
Kelsterbach 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alzenau Kelsterbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alzenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kelsterbach let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Alzenau scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Kelsterbach has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alzenau VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alzenau

(Home)
19 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 0
Baunatal
12 Sept
Hadamar
3 : 0
Alzenau
09 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 0
Hanauer SC
05 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 2
CSC 03 Kassel
30 Aug
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Alzenau
Page 1 of 6

Kelsterbach

(Away)
20 May
Kelsterbach
3 : 6
Ederbergland
06 May
Hadamar
4 : 1
Kelsterbach
29 Apr
Kelsterbach
2 : 4
Alzenau
22 Apr
Urberach
1 : 2
Kelsterbach
12 Apr
Kelsterbach
3 : 1
Fulda-Lehnerz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 22 4 6 89:34 70
2 Stadtallendorf 32 22 3 7 83:46 69
3 RW Frankfurt 32 20 6 6 90:45 66
4 Alzenau 32 19 7 6 87:49 64
5 Fulda 32 16 10 6 66:35 58
6 Hadamar 32 16 6 10 63:48 54
7 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 13 10 9 59:54 49
8 Sportfreunde Seligenstadt 32 12 8 12 57:45 44
9 Baunatal 32 11 8 13 60:53 41
10 Vellmar 32 12 5 15 49:70 41
11 Lohfelden 32 10 11 11 49:52 41
12 Ederbergland 32 12 2 18 52:76 38
13 Viktoria Griesheim 32 11 5 16 40:60 38
14 SV Steinbach 32 10 6 16 62:94 36
15 SKV Darmstadt 32 7 2 23 41:87 23
16 Kelsterbach 32 6 4 22 39:77 21
17 Urberach 32 2 5 25 24:85 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)