Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amadense vs AD Boquinhense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amadense in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Amadense
15%
Draws
59%
AD Boquinhense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Boquinhense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Amadense have won more games recently than AD Boquinhense.
  • Model gives AD Boquinhense a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Amadense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Amadense Clean Sheet 19%
AD Boquinhense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amadense AD Boquinhense
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.03 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Sergipano 3
Amadense vs AD Boquinhense
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Amadense vs AD Boquinhense
3:1
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
AD Boquinhense vs Amadense
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amadense 28 / 100
AD Boquinhense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amadense AD Boquinhense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Boquinhense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Amadense's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

AD Boquinhense has conceded goals in 79% of their last 14 outings.

Recent resilience: Amadense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amadense VS AD Boquinhense
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amadense

(Home)
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1
CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 7

AD Boquinhense

(Away)
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0
Riachao
05 Oct
Sete de Junho
2 : 0
AD Boquinhense
28 Sept
AD Boquinhense
0 : 3
Estanciano EC
21 Sept
CS Maruinense
1 : 1
AD Boquinhense
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)