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Ambrosiana vs Tamai Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pangrazio N.
14' Event
Porcelli M.
55' Event
Pangrazio N.

AI Match Summary

Ambrosiana in this Serie D - Group C 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ambrosiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ambrosiana
15%
Draws
34%
Tamai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Ambrosiana have won more games recently than Tamai.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ambrosiana here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 19%
Tamai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ambrosiana Tamai
Matches Played 33 19
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.55 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Tamai
5:0
Sep 8, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Tamai vs Ambrosiana
0:3
Feb 11, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Tamai vs Ambrosiana
0:1
Oct 8, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Tamai
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ambrosiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Pangrazio N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Porcelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Tamai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ambrosiana 36 / 100
Tamai 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ambrosiana Tamai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Ambrosiana scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Tamai let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Recent resilience: Ambrosiana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ambrosiana VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ambrosiana

(Home)
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1
Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2
Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
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Tamai

(Away)
16 Feb
Cartigliano
1 : 2
Tamai
09 Feb
Tamai
0 : 2
Legnago Salus
02 Feb
Campodarsego
2 : 0
Tamai
26 Jan
Tamai
1 : 0
Adriese
19 Jan
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Tamai
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