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America AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amazonense 2008 game between America AM and Nacional-AM (Manaus) finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nacional-AM (Manaus).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
America AM
22%
Draws
60%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional-AM (Manaus) come out ahead of America AM on wins alone.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
America AM Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America AM Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2011 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs America AM
2:0
Mar 5, 2011 Amazonense
America AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Apr 1, 2010 Amazonense
America AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:2
Jun 28, 2009 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs America AM
0:3
Jun 25, 2009 Amazonense
America AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America AM 20 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America AM Nacional-AM (Manaus)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America AM found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Nacional-AM (Manaus) conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

America AM went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America AM

(Home)
14 May
America AM
2 : 2
Sao Raimundo AM
12 May
America AM
2 : 0
Princesa do Solimoes
05 May
America AM
3 : 5
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
24 Apr
America AM
0 : 2
Penarol
21 Apr
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2 : 0
America AM
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Nacional-AM (Manaus)

(Away)
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1
Iguatu
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fast Clube962120:420
2Nacional-AM (Manaus)961219:1119
3Sao Raimundo AM954022:1119
4Holanda943218:915
5Princesa do Solimoes942313:914
6America AM933313:1712
7Sul America932411:1811
8CEPE931511:1910
9Libermorro90367:203
10Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)90187:231
Promotion - Campeonato Amazonense 2008 (Play Offs)