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America GO vs Gremio Anapolis

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America GO play Gremio Anapolis in the Goiano 2 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, America GO averaged 1 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Gremio Anapolis averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, America GO won 1, Gremio Anapolis won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 9, 2017 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for America GO and 1.00 for Gremio Anapolis. This points to a Gremio Anapolis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
America GO
24%
Draws
38%
Gremio Anapolis
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Gremio Anapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • America GO picked up more points recently compared to Gremio Anapolis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
America GO Clean Sheet 23%
Gremio Anapolis Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America GO Gremio Anapolis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2017 Goiano 2
America GO vs Gremio Anapolis
2:3
Jun 17, 2017 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs America GO
1:0
Aug 14, 2016 Goiano 2
America GO vs Gremio Anapolis
1:0
Jul 31, 2016 Goiano 2
Gremio Anapolis vs America GO
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America GO 39 / 100
Gremio Anapolis 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America GO Gremio Anapolis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gremio Anapolis or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America GO attacking → ← attacking Gremio Anapolis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America GO scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Gremio Anapolis let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

America GO went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gremio Anapolis lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 33
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Novo Horizonte631212:710
2Gremio Anapolis63128:710
3America GO63128:910
4Caldas EC60336:113
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Verde862022:420
2Ipora842213:914
3Goiania832311:1211
4Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)82066:156
5Santa Helena82069:216