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America MG U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America MG U20 play Botafogo RJ U20 in the Brasileiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, America MG U20 averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Botafogo RJ U20 averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, America MG U20 won 1, Botafogo RJ U20 won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 2, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for America MG U20 and 1.75 for Botafogo RJ U20. This points to a Botafogo RJ U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
America MG U20
35%
Draws
36%
Botafogo RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botafogo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • America MG U20 picked up more points recently compared to Botafogo RJ U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
America MG U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Botafogo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG U20 Botafogo RJ U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Brasileiro U20
America MG U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
0:0
Mar 19, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs America MG U20
2:0
Aug 1, 2024 Brasileiro U20
America MG U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
1:1
Apr 5, 2023 Brasileiro U20
Botafogo RJ U20 vs America MG U20
1:4
Jul 31, 2022 Brasileiro U20
America MG U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG U20 29 / 100
Botafogo RJ U20 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG U20 Botafogo RJ U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Botafogo RJ U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America MG U20 attacking → ← attacking Botafogo RJ U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG U20 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Botafogo RJ U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

America MG U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Botafogo RJ U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 54
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U2019135154:2344
2Vasco U2019113536:1936
3Botafogo RJ U2019113532:2036
4Bragantino U2019104549:3534
5Athletico-PR U201995539:2532
6Santos U201994629:2431
7Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201985635:2729
8Corinthians U201985631:2529
9Bahia U201985632:3029
10Flamengo RJ U201977528:2928
11Sao Paulo U201967627:2625
12America MG U201967625:3725
13Cuiaba U2019631019:2721
14Vitoria U201955920:3120
15Gremio U2019611231:4219
16Fluminense U2019541025:3119
17EC Juventude U2019531120:3918
18Criciuma U2019521224:4017
19Avai U201937924:4316
20Fortaleza U201929818:2515