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America Mineiro W vs Atletico-MG W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Arena Gregorão
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Pimenta
22'
Thalita
33'
Sub
Mimi In: Thaini
Out: Mimi

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico-MG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
America Mineiro W
39%
Draws
30%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico-MG W lately — more wins on the board than America Mineiro W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
America Mineiro W Clean Sheet 23%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America Mineiro W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Brasileiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Atletico-MG W
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Mineiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Atletico-MG W
5:0
Nov 1, 2025 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs America Mineiro W
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs America Mineiro W
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Atletico-MG W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America Mineiro W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimenta
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thalita
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America Mineiro W 33 / 100
Atletico-MG W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America Mineiro W Atletico-MG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG W let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

America Mineiro W's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

America Mineiro W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America Mineiro W VS Atletico-MG W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16Vitoria W121389:286
17America Mineiro W121386:256
18Botafogo RJ W121297:245