Sport Picks
America RN vs Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazil
Serie D 2025 Arena das Dunas, Natal 
Match Events
14'
14'
Salatiel
45'
45'
Souza
83'
83'
Ferreira M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D 2025 game between America RN and Santa Cruz de Natal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America RN.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America RN
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and America RN come out ahead of Santa Cruz de Natal on wins alone.
- America RN are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie D 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and America RN have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz de Natal Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America RN | Santa Cruz de Natal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 46 | 38 |
| Wins | 31 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Potiguar
America RN vs Santa Cruz de Natal
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 Serie D
Santa Cruz de Natal vs America RN
1:2
May 18, 2025 Serie D
America RN vs Santa Cruz de Natal
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Potiguar
America RN vs Santa Cruz de Natal
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Potiguar
Santa Cruz de Natal vs America RN
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America RN Compare
Top Goalscorer Salatiel
1 Goals Assists Leader Souza
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Santa Cruz de Natal Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America RN 95 / 100
Santa Cruz de Natal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America RN Santa Cruz de Natal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: America RN scored in 83% of their last 46 outings.
Solid form: America RN remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Santa Cruz de Natal let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
America RN VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
America RN
(Home) 19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0 Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1 Trem
04 Jul
Trem
1 : 4 America RN
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0 Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3 America RN
Page 1 of 10
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0 Gama
13 Jul
America RN
2 : 1 Trem
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0 Fluminense-PI
29 May
America RN
1 : 0 Central SC
17 May
America RN
5 : 0 Laguna RN
Page 1 of 5
Santa Cruz de Natal
(Away) 04 Mar
QFC
2 : 0 Santa Cruz de Natal
28 Feb
Santa Cruz de Natal
1 : 1 QFC
08 Feb
America RN
3 : 0 Santa Cruz de Natal
04 Feb
Santa Cruz de Natal
3 : 3 Laguna RN
01 Feb
Globo FC
2 : 2 Santa Cruz de Natal
Page 1 of 8
04 Mar
QFC
2 : 0 Santa Cruz de Natal
08 Feb
America RN
3 : 0 Santa Cruz de Natal
01 Feb
Globo FC
2 : 2 Santa Cruz de Natal
17 Jan
ABC
5 : 0 Santa Cruz de Natal
14 Jan
Potyguar Seridoense
1 : 3 Santa Cruz de Natal
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 27 |
| 2 | Manauara | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27:11 | 26 |
| 3 | Manaus FC | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21:17 | 23 |
| 4 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | 21 |
| 5 | Aguia De Maraba | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Trem | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23:24 | 18 |
| 7 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 8 | SC Humaita | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12:45 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AE Altos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:14 | 26 |
| 2 | Imperatriz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 24 |
| 3 | Sampaio Correa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Maranhao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 5 | Iguatu | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 6 | Tocantinopolis | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Parnahyba | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16:22 | 14 |
| 8 | Maracana | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:22 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America RN | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Central SC | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:7 | 26 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 5 | Horizonte | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 7 | Treze PB | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Sousa | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11:14 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASA | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 27:8 | 31 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 3 | Sergipe | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Juazeirense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Uniao Carmolandense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Jequie | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Barcelona FC | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:20 | 11 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 5:17 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aparecidense | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32:12 | 32 |
| 2 | Ceilandia | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Mixto | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 22:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Capital | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Goiania | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 22:13 | 30 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:9 | 26 |
| 3 | Agua Santa | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Marica | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:14 | 19 |
| 5 | Pouso Alegre | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:18 | 17 |
| 6 | Porto Vitoria | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Nova Iguacu | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 8 | Boavista | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:23 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional de Limeira | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 21:7 | 30 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:17 | 22 |
| 3 | Goiatuba EC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Cascavel | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Uberlandia | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Monte Azul | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13:18 | 14 |
| 7 | Operario MS | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13:22 | 14 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11:22 | 10 |
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:10 | 26 |
| 2 | EC Sao Jose (PA) | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:11 | 26 |
| 3 | Joinville | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 11:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Guarany de Bage | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | 19 |
| 6 | Brasil de Pelotas | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 7 | Sao Luiz | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Azuriz | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6:14 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D 2025 (Play Offs)