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America TO vs Pocos de Caldas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America TO in this Mineiro 3 2023 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
America TO
17%
Draws
13%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: America TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America TO lately — more wins on the board than Pocos de Caldas.
  • Model gives America TO a 70% chance of winning this.
  • America TO have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor America TO, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and America TO have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
America TO Clean Sheet 20%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America TO Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 23 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Pocos de Caldas
2:0
Oct 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:3
Nov 28, 2021 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Nov 20, 2021 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:0
Apr 12, 2009 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America TO 67 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America TO Pocos de Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America TO found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

Pocos de Caldas has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: America TO remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America TO VS Pocos de Caldas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America TO

(Home)
04 Nov
Guarani-MG
3 : 0
America TO
26 Oct
America TO
1 : 0
Guarani-MG
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0
Social
12 Oct
Boston City
0 : 2
America TO
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
Page 1 of 8

Pocos de Caldas

(Away)
19 Oct
Tupynambas
3 : 2
Pocos de Caldas
13 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
Tres Coracoes
08 Oct
Pocos de Caldas
1 : 1
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Villa Real
2 : 0
Pocos de Caldas
29 Sept
Pocos de Caldas
0 : 2
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce1
Contagem0
Pocos de Caldas1
America TO5
Mamore3
Araxa2
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
Guarani-MG1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce4
America TO3
Mamore5
Guarani-MG4
Final
Valeriodoce2
Mamore3