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Stadium Background

American Samoa U17 vs New Zealand U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Edwards J.
11' Event
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
38' Event
Flowerdew L.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U17 in this OFC Championship U17 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-11 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
American Samoa U17
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • American Samoa U17 haven't matched New Zealand U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
American Samoa U17 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa U17 New Zealand U17
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 1 17
Draws 1 2
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 9 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 9.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 OFC Championship U16
American Samoa U17 vs New Zealand U17
0:11
Jan 14, 2011 OFC Championship U16
New Zealand U17 vs American Samoa U17
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

American Samoa U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

New Zealand U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Flowerdew L.
4 Goals
Assists Leader D'Hotman M.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa U17 10 / 100
New Zealand U17 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa U17 New Zealand U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Away concern: New Zealand U17 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: New Zealand U17 conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: American Samoa U17 scored in 31% of their last 13 outings.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa U17 VS New Zealand U17
0 Goals Scored 1.88
9 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fiji U1722006:06
2Samoa U1721016:33
3Tonga U1720020:90
4Papua New Guinea U1700000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U17220014:26
2New Caledonia U1721019:33
3American Samoa U1720020:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tahiti U1722008:16
2Vanuatu U1721013:33
3Cook Islands U1720021:80