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Amiternina vs Notaresco Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 game between Amiternina and Notaresco Calcio finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notaresco Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Amiternina
15%
Draws
85%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Notaresco Calcio come out ahead of Amiternina on wins alone.
  • Notaresco Calcio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Notaresco Calcio here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Amiternina Clean Sheet 19%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amiternina Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Amiternina vs Notaresco Calcio
1:3
Nov 28, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Amiternina
1:1
May 3, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Amiternina
2:1
Dec 21, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Amiternina vs Notaresco Calcio
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amiternina 20 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amiternina Notaresco Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notaresco Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Amiternina scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Notaresco Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Notaresco Calcio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Notaresco Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amiternina

(Home)
08 May
Fermana
3 : 0
Amiternina
01 May
Amiternina
1 : 2
Castelfidardo
24 Apr
Avezzano
1 : 0
Amiternina
17 Apr
Amiternina
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
10 Apr
Calcio Chieti
3 : 0
Amiternina
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Notaresco Calcio

(Away)
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 25 6 3 76:36 81
2 Fano 34 21 5 8 49:29 68
3 Campobasso 34 17 10 7 47:27 61
4 Matelica 34 18 4 12 57:37 58
5 Fermana 34 15 10 9 50:39 55
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 13 9 49:38 49
7 Recanatese 34 13 9 12 45:50 48
8 Jesina 34 14 5 15 39:46 47
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 12 10 12 49:42 46
10 Avezzano 34 12 8 14 51:52 44
11 Vis Pesaro 34 11 10 13 39:41 43
12 Castelfidardo 34 10 12 12 33:40 42
13 Agnonese 34 10 10 14 46:48 40
14 Monticelli 34 9 10 15 42:48 37
15 Isernia 34 9 10 15 27:49 37
16 Folgore Veregra 34 7 11 16 34:52 32
17 Giulianova 34 7 6 21 27:63 27
18 Amiternina 34 5 9 20 34:57 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2015/2016 (Play Out)