Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ammanford Town vs Newport City

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
John D.
30' Event
John D.
48' Event
Davies O.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Ammanford Town and Newport City finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ammanford Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ammanford Town
6%
Draws
4%
Newport City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ammanford Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Newport City haven't matched Ammanford Town's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ammanford Town a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 20%
Newport City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ammanford Town Newport City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Newport City
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cymru South
Newport City vs Ammanford Town
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru South
Ammanford Town vs Newport City
1:2
Jul 26, 2024 Cymru South
Newport City vs Ammanford Town
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ammanford Town Compare

Top Goalscorer John D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Davies O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Newport City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ammanford Town 85 / 100
Newport City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ammanford Town Newport City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Newport City conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ammanford Town remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ammanford Town found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ammanford Town VS Newport City
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ammanford Town

(Home)
18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2
Ammanford Town
03 Apr
Ammanford Town
4 : 0
Newport City
28 Mar
Treowen
1 : 5
Ammanford Town
24 Mar
Ammanford Town
0 : 0
Cambrian United
20 Mar
Ammanford Town
1 : 0
Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6

Newport City

(Away)
08 Jul
Newport City
0 : 5
Newport
26 Jun
Cambrian United
1 : 0
Newport City
18 Apr
Newport City
0 : 5
Trefelin
03 Apr
Ammanford Town
4 : 0
Newport City
28 Mar
Cardiff Draconians
0 : 1
Newport City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)