Sport Picks
Ammanford Town vs Penybont
Wales
Cymru Premier Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford 
Match Events
9'
9'
Davies M.
36'
36'
Mehew T.
41'
41'
Walker T.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Ammanford Town and Penybont finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penybont.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penybont
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Ammanford Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- Penybont are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Penybont here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Penybont Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ammanford Town | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Ammanford Town vs Penybont
1:5
Sep 20, 2022 League Cup
Penybont vs Ammanford Town
1:2
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Penybont vs Ammanford Town
2:1
May 7, 2019 Division 1
Ammanford Town vs Penybont
1:3
Oct 26, 2018 Division 1
Penybont vs Ammanford Town
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ammanford Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Delaney M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Penybont Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mehew T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ammanford Town 10 / 100
Penybont 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ammanford Town Penybont
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Ammanford Town scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Penybont has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Ammanford Town went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ammanford Town VS Penybont
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ammanford Town
(Home) 18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
04 Sept
Llandudno FC
2 : 0 Ammanford Town
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
31 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Cardiff Metropolitan University
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2 Connahs Q.
07 Aug
Ammanford Town
2 : 2 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 3
Penybont
(Away) 18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
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18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
31 Aug
Cambrian United
2 : 2 Penybont
14 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 3 Penybont
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 33:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Connahs Q. | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:20 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:24 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | 3 |
| 15 | Flint Town | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8:24 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11:35 | 1 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
