Sport Picks
Ammanford Town vs Penybont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Ammanford Recreation Ground, Ammanford 
Match Events
9'
9'
Davies M.
36'
36'
Mehew T.
41'
41'
Walker T.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Ammanford Town and Penybont finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penybont.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Penybont carry the better recent record into this one.
- Penybont are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Penybont here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ammanford Town Clean Sheet 10%
Penybont Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ammanford Town | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 3.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Ammanford Town vs Penybont
1:5
Sep 20, 2022 League Cup
Penybont vs Ammanford Town
1:2
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Penybont vs Ammanford Town
2:1
May 7, 2019 Division 1
Ammanford Town vs Penybont
1:3
Oct 26, 2018 Division 1
Penybont vs Ammanford Town
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ammanford Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Delaney M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Penybont Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mehew T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ammanford Town 10 / 100
Penybont 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ammanford Town Penybont
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Ammanford Town scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Penybont has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Ammanford Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ammanford Town VS Penybont
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ammanford Town
(Home) 06 Nov
Ammanford Town
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
30 Oct
Ammanford Town
0 : 1 Haverfordwest
23 Oct
TNS
9 : 0 Ammanford Town
17 Oct
Cwmaman Institute
2 : 4 Ammanford Town
09 Oct
Cambrian United
0 : 1 Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 7
06 Nov
Ammanford Town
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
30 Oct
Ammanford Town
0 : 1 Haverfordwest
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1 Holywell Town FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Ammanford Town
0 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 3
Penybont
(Away) 06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0 Caernarfon
31 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5 Penybont
18 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 3 Penybont
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1 Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5 Penybont
18 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 3 Penybont
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5 Penybont
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 54:6 | 44 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 34:9 | 38 |
| 3 | Penybont | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28:18 | 32 |
| 5 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 34:24 | 30 |
| 6 | Caernarfon | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 42:21 | 29 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:29 | 29 |
| 8 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 25 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26:41 | 19 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 22:29 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 12:23 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:28 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 19:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:43 | 12 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:38 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16:52 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
