Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amorebieta vs SD Ejea

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Etxaniz J.
(Penalty)
88' Event
Ceballos D.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Amorebieta and SD Ejea finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amorebieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Amorebieta
6%
Draws
4%
SD Ejea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Amorebieta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Amorebieta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 68%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amorebieta SD Ejea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs SD Ejea
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Ejea vs Amorebieta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceballos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SD Ejea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amorebieta 95 / 100
SD Ejea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amorebieta SD Ejea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Ejea conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Amorebieta's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Amorebieta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amorebieta VS SD Ejea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Amorebieta

(Home)
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1
Sestao
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Gernika Club
05 Apr
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

SD Ejea

(Away)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
18 Apr
Alaves B
3 : 0
SD Ejea
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
02 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)