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Andes CF vs Astur

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 game between Andes CF and Astur finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Andes CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Andes CF
15%
Draws
36%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Andes CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Andes CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Andes CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Andes CF Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andes CF Astur
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.38 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Andes CF vs Astur
3:0
Sep 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Andes CF
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andes CF 58 / 100
Astur 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andes CF Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Andes CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Astur conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Andes CF scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Astur's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Andes CF VS Astur
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Andes CF

(Home)
20 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 1
EI San Martin
13 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0
Andes CF
06 Sept
Andes CF
1 : 2
CD Colunga
17 May
Andes CF
3 : 0
L Entregu CF
10 May
Tuilla
3 : 1
Andes CF
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Astur

(Away)
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
09 Oct
Astur
2 : 0
Promesas EDF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)