Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Andijan vs Xorazm Urganch

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Bobur Arena, Andijan
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Ashortia I.
62'
Sub
Iminov K. In: Ceran D.
Out: Iminov K.
62'
Sub
Kholdorkhonov P. In: Sulaymonov B.
Out: Kholdorkhonov P.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Andijan and Xorazm Urganch finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Andijan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Andijan
15%
Draws
8%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Andijan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Andijan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Andijan a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Andijan here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Andijan Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andijan Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.22 1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Super League
Andijan vs Xorazm Urganch
1:0
May 4, 2026 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Andijan
0:3
Nov 21, 2025 Super League
Andijan vs Xorazm Urganch
3:2
Jun 26, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Andijan
2:3
Nov 16, 2022 Pro Liga
Andijan vs Xorazm Urganch
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andijan Compare

Top Goalscorer Boakye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andijan 77 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andijan Xorazm Urganch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Andijan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Andijan scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Xorazm Urganch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Andijan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Andijan VS Xorazm Urganch
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Andijan

(Home)
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4
Nasaf Qarshi
15 Sept
Andijan
3 : 2
Olimpik-Mobiuz
10 Sept
Andijan
2 : 1
Kokand 1912
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 7

Xorazm Urganch

(Away)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0
Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)