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World Championship 2026 Estadi de la FAF

Serbia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serbia is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Andorra, backed by a win probability of 64%. Andorra averages 0.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Serbia shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Andorra, 2 wins for Serbia, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 14.10.25 ended in a 1:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.06 for Andorra and 1.31 for Serbia, suggesting the primary value lies in the Serbia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%

Andorra

22%

Draws

64%

Serbia

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Serbia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Andorra picked up more points recently compared to Serbia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%

Andorra Clean Sheet 18%

Serbia Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Andorra	Serbia
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	2	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	23	12
Goals Scored	0.27	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

14.10.25 World Championship

Andorra vs Serbia

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

1:3

10.06.25 World Championship

Serbia vs Andorra

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Andorra

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Serbia

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andorra Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Serbia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlahovic D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andorra 16 / 100

Serbia 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Andorra Serbia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Serbia & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +133.4%

16.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Serbia will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Andorra 15%

Serbia 51%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Andorra will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Serbia's early runs.

Andorra 13%

Serbia 67%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Serbia to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Andorra tries to push forward.

Andorra 14%

Serbia 64%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Serbia increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Andorra 15%

Serbia 61%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Andorra's defense, opening up opportunities for Serbia's forward line.

Andorra 13%

Serbia 70%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Serbia to manage the closing stages, while Andorra searches for late drama.

Andorra 16%

Serbia 74%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Andorra attacking → ← attacking Serbia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andorra have found the net in 17% of their last 30 matches.

Serbia have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.

Andorra remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Serbia suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 35

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0