Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Andranik vs Urartu

Armenia Armenia

Armenian Cup 2025/2026 Junior Sport Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Polyarus A.
(Penalty)
64'
Sub
Piloyan E. In: Ayvazyan K.
Out: Piloyan E.
64'
Sub
Ye H. In: Petrosyan E.
Out: Ye H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Andranik
20%
Draws
33%
Urartu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Andranik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Andranik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Andranik are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Andranik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Andranik Clean Sheet 16%
Urartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Andranik Urartu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.53 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Armenian Cup
Urartu vs Andranik
1:0
Apr 15, 2026 Armenian Cup
Andranik vs Urartu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Andranik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndidi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Urartu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Andranik 48 / 100
Urartu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Andranik Urartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Andranik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Andranik found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Urartu has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Andranik stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Andranik VS Urartu
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Andranik

(Home)
21 Sept
Andranik
1 : 2
Lernayin Artsakh
14 Sept
BKMA 2
1 : 4
Andranik
07 Sept
Andranik
3 : 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
01 Sept
Noah 2
0 : 0
Andranik
25 Aug
Andranik
5 : 0
Echmiadzin
Page 1 of 6

Urartu

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
Urartu
12 Sept
Urartu
0 : 3
Noah
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
28 Aug
Urartu
1 : 1
Alashkert
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Syunik 3
Hayq 1
TBD -
Cilicia -
Bentonit 0
Andranik 3
TBD -
BKMA -
Mika 1
Sardarapat 2
TBD -
Ararat Yerevan -
Urartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Van -
Araks Ararat 2
Lernayin Artsakh 1
TBD -
Shirak Gyumri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
Pyunik Yerevan -
TBD -
FC Gandzasar 2
Alashkert 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
1/8-finals
Syunik 1
Cilicia 0
Andranik 2
BKMA 0
Sardarapat 0
Ararat Yerevan 3
Urartu 4
Van 0
Araks Ararat 0
Shirak Gyumri 4
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
Pyunik Yerevan 3
FC Gandzasar 0
TBD -
Noah -
Quarter-finals
Syunik 2
Andranik 5
Ararat Yerevan 3
Urartu 5
Shirak Gyumri 0
Ararat-Armenia 3
Pyunik Yerevan 3
Noah 4
Semi-finals
Andranik 1
Urartu 2
Ararat-Armenia 0
Noah 1
Final
Urartu 2
Noah 4