Sport Picks
Angel City W vs Portland Thorns FC W
USA
NWSL Women BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, CA 
Match Events
39'
39'
Tordin P.
60'
60'
Sub
Turner R. In: Alidou d'Anjou M.
Out: Turner R.
63'
63'
Sub
Fuller K. In: Ary Borges
Out: Fuller K.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Angel City W and Portland Thorns FC W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Thorns FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Angel City W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Portland Thorns FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Angel City W a 60% chance of winning this.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Angel City W Clean Sheet 68%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Angel City W | Portland Thorns FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Angel City W
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Angel City W
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Angel City W vs Portland Thorns FC W
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Angel City W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Angel City W Compare
Top Goalscorer Chilufya P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Tordin P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wilson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Angel City W 68 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Angel City W Portland Thorns FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ANG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Angel City W scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Portland Thorns FC W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Angel City W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Angel City W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Angel City W
(Home) 27 Jul
Angel City W
1 : 2 Racing Louisville W
18 Jul
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2 Angel City W
12 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2 Angel City W
04 Jul
Angel City W
2 : 0 Orlando Pride W
31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
27 Jul
Angel City W
1 : 2 Racing Louisville W
04 Jul
Angel City W
2 : 0 Orlando Pride W
31 May
Angel City W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
21 May
Angel City W
2 : 1 Kansas City Current W
10 May
Angel City W
1 : 2 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 4
Portland Thorns FC W
(Away) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
24 May
Kansas City Current W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
03 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2 Portland Thorns FC W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 31 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23:16 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle Reign W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18:28 | 11 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
