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Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Angust Nazran play Spartak Nalchik in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Angust Nazran averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Spartak Nalchik averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Angust Nazran won 1, Spartak Nalchik won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Angust Nazran and 1.19 for Spartak Nalchik. This points to a Spartak Nalchik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Angust Nazran
35%
Draws
34%
Spartak Nalchik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartak Nalchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Angust Nazran picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Nalchik.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Angust Nazran Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 44%
Second Half Goal 47%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Angust Nazran Spartak Nalchik
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Angust Nazran
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Angust Nazran
0:4
May 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Angust Nazran
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Angust Nazran 32 / 100
Spartak Nalchik 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Angust Nazran Spartak Nalchik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Nalchik or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Angust Nazran attacking → ← attacking Spartak Nalchik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angust Nazran scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Spartak Nalchik let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Angust Nazran went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Nalchik lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 40
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63