Sport Picks
Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor
Turkey
Turkish Cup Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya 
Match Events
18'
18'
Gueye B.
45'
45'
Dzhikiya G.
45'
45'
Ndiaye C.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Samsunspor in this Turkish Cup tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Samsunspor lately — more wins on the board than Antalyaspor.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Samsunspor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Antalyaspor, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Antalyaspor Clean Sheet 12%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Antalyaspor | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2026 Turkish Cup
Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor
0:2
Feb 13, 2026 Super Lig
Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Super Lig
Antalyaspor vs Samsunspor
2:1
Nov 4, 2024 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs Antalyaspor
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Antalyaspor Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Samsunspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marius
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Antalyaspor 35 / 100
Samsunspor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Antalyaspor Samsunspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Samsunspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Antalyaspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Antalyaspor scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Antalyaspor VS Samsunspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Antalyaspor
(Home) 13 Jul
Antalyaspor
2 : 1 Tikves
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
09 May
Galatasaray
4 : 2 Antalyaspor
03 May
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 Alanyaspor
25 Apr
Goztepe
2 : 0 Antalyaspor
Page 1 of 6
13 Jul
Antalyaspor
2 : 1 Tikves
17 May
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 Kocaelispor
03 May
Antalyaspor
0 : 0 Alanyaspor
17 Apr
Antalyaspor
0 : 2 Konyaspor
05 Apr
Antalyaspor
3 : 0 Eyupspor
Page 1 of 3
Samsunspor
(Away) 25 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 0 Samsunspor
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1 Samsunspor
16 May
Samsunspor
3 : 0 Goztepe
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0 Samsunspor
02 May
Samsunspor
4 : 1 Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
0 : 0 Samsunspor
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1 Samsunspor
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0 Samsunspor
27 Apr
Alanyaspor
2 : 3 Samsunspor
13 Apr
Eyupspor
1 : 2 Samsunspor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Trabzonspor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Alanyaspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Basaksehir | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 | F. Karagumruk | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
| 7 | Istanbulspor AS | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 8 | Fethiyespor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samsunspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Konyaspor | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Genclerbirligi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Eyupspor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Bodrumspor | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 7 | Aliaga | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:16 | 1 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Erzurumspor FK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Gaziantep | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Kocaelispor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Rizespor | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 7 | Beyoglu Yeni Carsi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
