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Antigua and Barbuda W vs Dominica W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Drew N.
19' Event
Starr H.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Starr H.

AI Match Summary

Dominica W in this Gold Cup Women tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Antigua and Barbuda W
6%
Draws
4%
Dominica W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Antigua and Barbuda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Antigua and Barbuda W have won more games recently than Dominica W.
  • Antigua and Barbuda W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Antigua and Barbuda W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dominica W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Antigua and Barbuda W Clean Sheet 20%
Dominica W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua and Barbuda W Dominica W
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 12 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 7.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 CONCACAF Championship Women
Dominica W vs Antigua and Barbuda W
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Antigua and Barbuda W vs Dominica W
1:2
Oct 25, 2023 Gold Cup Women
Dominica W vs Antigua and Barbuda W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antigua and Barbuda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Drew N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dominica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Starr H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua and Barbuda W 85 / 100
Dominica W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua and Barbuda W Dominica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominica W let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Difficult form: Dominica W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Antigua and Barbuda W scored in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Antigua and Barbuda W VS Dominica W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 7
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua and Barbuda W

(Home)
14 Apr
Dominica W
1 : 1
Antigua and Barbuda W
11 Apr
Jamaica W
4 : 0
Antigua and Barbuda W
05 Mar
Antigua and Barbuda W
0 : 4
Guyana W
27 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda W
0 : 4
Nicaragua W
21 Dec
Anguilla W
1 : 2
Antigua and Barbuda W
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Dominica W

(Away)
19 Apr
Nicaragua W
14 : 0
Dominica W
14 Apr
Dominica W
1 : 1
Antigua and Barbuda W
28 Feb
Guyana W
3 : 0
Dominica W
29 Nov
Dominica W
0 : 18
Jamaica W
20 Sept
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W
3 : 0
Dominica W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guyana W650120:215
2Suriname W640217:212
3Antigua and Barbuda W61143:84
4Dominica W61142:304
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador W660024:218
2Martinique W62137:157
3Nicaragua W61235:115
4Honduras W61145:134
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dominican Republic W650124:315
2Bermuda W641114:513
3Barbados W611411:194
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W61054:263
Promotion - Gold Cup Women (Preliminary)