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Antigua vs Malacateco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Pensativo, Antigua Guatemala
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Antigua host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Malacateco have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Antigua have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Antigua slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Antigua. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Antigua
20%
Draws
33%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Antigua have won more games recently than Malacateco.
  • Win probability leans Antigua's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Antigua Clean Sheet 19%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antigua Malacateco
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.48 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
0:2
Apr 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Malacateco
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Malacateco
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Antigua
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antigua 85 / 100
Malacateco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antigua Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Malacateco conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Antigua went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antigua VS Malacateco
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Antigua

(Home)
01 Nov
Aurora F.C.
0 : 2
Antigua
30 Oct
Antigua
1 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
25 Oct
Comunicaciones
1 : 0
Antigua
20 Oct
Antigua
3 : 0
Xelaju
15 Oct
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

Malacateco

(Away)
29 Oct
Malacateco
0 : 2
Aurora F.C.
25 Oct
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 2
Malacateco
21 Oct
Malacateco
1 : 0
Comunicaciones
15 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 1
Malacateco
11 Oct
Malacateco
2 : 0
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 18 11 2 5 31:21 35
2 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
3 Deportivo Mixco 18 8 4 6 30:26 28
4 Guastatoya 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
5 Deportivo San Pedro 18 7 5 6 21:20 26
6 Xelaju 17 7 4 6 28:20 25
7 Aurora F.C. 18 8 1 9 28:28 25
8 Coban Imperial 18 7 4 7 26:27 25
9 Marquense 17 7 4 6 18:21 25
10 Comunicaciones 18 6 2 10 22:28 20
11 Malacateco 18 5 4 9 18:26 19
12 Suchitepequez 18 2 6 10 20:36 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)