Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Antofagasta vs Cobresal

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Monreal J.
29' Event
Hurtado B.
Assist: Manzano F.
46'
Sub
Monreal J. In: Gallegos Panozzo M.
Out: Monreal J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Antofagasta
30%
Draws
23%
Cobresal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Antofagasta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antofagasta come out ahead of Cobresal on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Antofagasta taking it.
  • Antofagasta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cobresal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 20%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antofagasta Cobresal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.71 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Cobresal
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile
Cobresal vs Antofagasta
0:1
Jul 4, 2022 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs Antofagasta
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Liga de Primera
Antofagasta vs Cobresal
0:1
Sep 25, 2021 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs Antofagasta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antofagasta Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtado B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cobresal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antofagasta 67 / 100
Cobresal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antofagasta Cobresal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobresal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Antofagasta scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Antofagasta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antofagasta VS Cobresal
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Antofagasta

(Home)
13 Aug
Antofagasta
0 : 0
S. Wanderers
07 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 3
Antofagasta
01 Aug
Antofagasta
5 : 1
San Felipe
26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2
Antofagasta
12 Jul
Antofagasta
1 : 0
Cobresal
Page 1 of 6

Cobresal

(Away)
08 Aug
U. Catolica
2 : 0
Cobresal
01 Aug
Cobresal
4 : 0
Union La Calera
25 Jul
Huachipato
3 : 3
Cobresal
12 Jul
Antofagasta
1 : 0
Cobresal
05 Jul
Cobresal
2 : 2
Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 5 3 1 1 12:8 10
2 O Higgins 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
3 Recoleta 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 U. Espanola 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)