Sport Picks
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta 
Match Events
34'
34'
Monreal J.
(Penalty)
40'
40'
Hurtado B.
42'
42'
Abuhadba Z.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Antofagasta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Antofagasta lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Santa Cruz.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Antofagasta taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 20%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Antofagasta | Deportes Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Antofagasta
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs Antofagasta
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Antofagasta Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Deportes Santa Cruz Compare
Top Goalscorer Arias D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Antofagasta 67 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Antofagasta Deportes Santa Cruz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ANT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Antofagasta scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Deportes Santa Cruz conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Antofagasta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Antofagasta VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Antofagasta
(Home) 26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2 Antofagasta
12 Jul
Antofagasta
1 : 0 Cobresal
05 Jul
La Serena
2 : 4 Antofagasta
28 Jun
Cobresal
0 : 1 Antofagasta
21 Jun
Antofagasta
4 : 2 La Serena
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Antofagasta
1 : 0 Cobresal
21 Jun
Antofagasta
4 : 2 La Serena
07 Jun
Antofagasta
0 : 0 Magallanes
24 May
Antofagasta
1 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
10 May
Antofagasta
3 : 1 San Luis
Page 1 of 3
Deportes Santa Cruz
(Away) 25 Jul
Cobreloa
4 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
11 Jul
Palestino
3 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
05 Jul
Deportes Santa Cruz
2 : 1 A. Italiano
27 Jun
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 Palestino
19 Jun
A. Italiano
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Cobreloa
4 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
11 Jul
Palestino
3 : 2 Deportes Santa Cruz
19 Jun
A. Italiano
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
07 Jun
Rangers
0 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
24 May
Antofagasta
1 : 1 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 34:19 | 32 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31:18 | 29 |
| 3 | San Marcos de Arica | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:11 | 28 |
| 4 | San Luis | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:22 | 26 |
| 5 | D. Puerto Montt | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 20:18 | 26 |
| 6 | Deportes Temuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 23 |
| 7 | Antofagasta | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:23 | 23 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 22 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Magallanes | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:26 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 20:23 | 16 |
| 14 | San Felipe | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:29 | 16 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21:30 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 11:28 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
