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Antwerp vs Lokeren

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2019/2020 Bosuilstadion, Antwerp
Thu, Sep 26, 2019
4 - 2
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Beridze G.
6' Event
Mbokani D.
8'
Said A.

AI Match Summary

Antwerp in this Belgian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Antwerp
20%
Draws
10%
Lokeren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antwerp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Antwerp lately — more wins on the board than Lokeren.
  • Model gives Antwerp a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Antwerp have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Antwerp, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 18%
Lokeren Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Antwerp Lokeren
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2019 Belgian Cup
Antwerp vs Lokeren
4:2
Feb 9, 2019 Jupiler Pro League
Lokeren vs Antwerp
2:1
Oct 20, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Lokeren
2:1
May 5, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Lokeren vs Antwerp
1:2
Apr 23, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs Lokeren
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Antwerp Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyoshi K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mbokani D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Lokeren Compare

Top Goalscorer Beridze G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Antwerp 41 / 100
Lokeren 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Antwerp Lokeren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokeren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Antwerp scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Antwerp went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Antwerp VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Antwerp

(Home)
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
15 Aug
Kortrijk
0 : 3
Antwerp
09 Aug
Antwerp
2 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

Lokeren

(Away)
28 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
22 Feb
KSV Roeselare
2 : 2
Lokeren
16 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Virton
12 Feb
Westerlo
3 : 2
Lokeren
01 Feb
Lokeren
0 : 2
Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Royal Excel Mouscron 1
Dessel 0
Beerschot VA 2
Anderlecht 3
Oostende 2
Mandel United 0
Francs Borains 0
Club Brugge 3
Waregem 4
KFC Duffel 2
Leuven 0
St. Truiden 2
Charleroi 3
Boom 2
Aalst 0
Gent 4
St. Liege 2
Lommel SK 1
Cercle Brugge 0
Rebecquoise 1
Antwerp 4
Lokeren 2
Ronse 0
Genk 3
Royale Union SG 3
Verlaine 0
SK Beveren 3
Westerlo 4
Kortrijk 3
RFC Seraing 1
Cappellen 0
Eupen 1
1/8-finals
Royal Excel Mouscron 2
Anderlecht 3
Oostende 1
Club Brugge 2
Waregem 3
St. Truiden 0
Charleroi 1
Gent 0
St. Liege 3
Rebecquoise 0
Antwerp 4
Genk 3
Royale Union SG 1
Westerlo 0
Kortrijk 2
Eupen 1
Quarter-finals
Anderlecht 0
Club Brugge 2
Waregem 2
Charleroi 0
St. Liege 1
Antwerp 3
Royale Union SG 0
Kortrijk 1
Semi-finals
Club Brugge 3
Waregem 2
Antwerp 2
Kortrijk 1
Final
Club Brugge 0
Antwerp 1