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Aoiz vs Murchante

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013
Aoiz Logo

Aoiz

4 - 1
FT
Murchante Logo

Murchante

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aoiz in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Aoiz
30%
Draws
43%
Murchante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aoiz haven't matched Murchante's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 20%
Murchante Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aoiz Murchante
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Murchante
4:1
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Aoiz
2:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Aoiz
2:1
Oct 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Murchante
2:2
Apr 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Murchante
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aoiz 32 / 100
Murchante 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aoiz Murchante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murchante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murchante has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Aoiz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Aoiz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aoiz VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aoiz

(Home)
18 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Aoiz
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

Murchante

(Away)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 38 23 11 4 53:16 80
2 Mutilvera 38 23 9 6 78:28 78
3 Iruna 38 19 10 9 67:45 67
4 Cortes 38 19 9 10 50:41 66
5 Cirbonero 38 18 11 9 71:41 65
6 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 51:31 65
7 Huarte 38 16 10 12 58:49 58
8 Burlades 38 15 10 13 47:38 55
9 Oberena 38 17 4 17 52:51 55
10 Murchante 38 14 13 11 39:39 55
11 Valle Egues 38 14 7 17 52:51 49
12 Pamplona 38 13 9 16 45:48 48
13 Erriberri 38 12 10 16 43:52 46
14 Lagun Artea 38 12 9 17 34:48 45
15 Valtierrano 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 34:55 41
17 Aoiz 38 10 9 19 42:63 39
18 Subiza 38 9 11 18 51:77 38
19 Pena Azagresa 38 6 12 20 39:70 30
20 Lagunak 38 3 10 25 20:73 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)