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Stadium Background

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs GKS Katowice W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Brzeczek N.
23' Event
Fabova K.
29' Event
Fabova K.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W and GKS Katowice W finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GKS Katowice W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
28%
Draws
50%
GKS Katowice W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: GKS Katowice W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GKS Katowice W come out ahead of AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans GKS Katowice W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • GKS Katowice W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 10%
GKS Katowice W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W GKS Katowice W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 20
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1 3.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs GKS Katowice W
2:5
Apr 19, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs GKS Katowice W
0:2
May 11, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs GKS Katowice W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabova K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

GKS Katowice W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brzeczek N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wlodarczyk J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 22 / 100
GKS Katowice W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W GKS Katowice W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: GKS Katowice W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W VS GKS Katowice W
1 Goals Scored 3.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

(Home)
18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 3
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Page 1 of 6

GKS Katowice W

(Away)
25 Jul
GKS Katowice W
1 : 5
Slavia Prague W
15 Jul
GKS Katowice W
1 : 1
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
15 Jul
GKS Katowice W
4 : 1
Ostrava W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
23 May
UKS SMS Lodz W
1 : 2
GKS Katowice W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)