Sport Picks
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
Poland
Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Jagodzinska R.
79'
79'
Kuleczka M.
90'
90'
Kwiatkowska M.
AI Match Summary
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W lately — more wins on the board than Lech-UAM Poznan W.
- Win probability leans AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 20%
Lech-UAM Poznan W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W | Lech-UAM Poznan W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 2.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Club Friendly Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Lech-UAM Poznan W
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Polish Cup Women
Lech-UAM Poznan W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare
Top Goalscorer Jagodzinska R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fabova K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Lech-UAM Poznan W Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuleczka M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 36 / 100
Lech-UAM Poznan W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Lech-UAM Poznan W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Lech-UAM Poznan W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Solid form: AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W VS Lech-UAM Poznan W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
(Home) 18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1 Lech-UAM Poznan W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0 AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 3 Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Page 1 of 6
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1 Lech-UAM Poznan W
02 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 3 Stomilanki Olsztyn W
04 Apr
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 0 Pogon Tczew W
29 Mar
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
0 : 6 UKS SMS Lodz W
15 Mar
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 4 Leczna W
Page 1 of 3
Lech-UAM Poznan W
(Away) 11 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
2 : 2 Lech-UAM Poznan W
30 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
2 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1 Lech-UAM Poznan W
20 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 4 GKS Katowice W
09 May
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 1 UKS SMS Lodz W
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W
2 : 2 Lech-UAM Poznan W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1 Lech-UAM Poznan W
01 May
Slask Wroclaw W
3 : 3 Lech-UAM Poznan W
04 Apr
Pogon Szczecin W
3 : 0 Lech-UAM Poznan W
25 Mar
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 4 Lech-UAM Poznan W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czarni Sosnowiec W | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 68:18 | 56 |
| 2 | Pogon Szczecin W | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 60:18 | 51 |
| 3 | GKS Katowice W | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 51:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Leczna W | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 49:20 | 47 |
| 5 | UKS SMS Lodz W | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:35 | 29 |
| 6 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala W | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 29:34 | 28 |
| 7 | Slask Wroclaw W | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 39:33 | 26 |
| 8 | Lech-UAM Poznan W | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29:46 | 26 |
| 9 | UJ Krakow W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26:37 | 24 |
| 10 | AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 24:45 | 23 |
| 11 | Stomilanki Olsztyn W | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 23:70 | 11 |
| 12 | Pogon Tczew W | 22 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15:66 | 7 |
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)