Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aparecida EC vs Morrinhos

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2021
Aparecida EC Logo

Aparecida EC

0 - 3
FT
Morrinhos Logo

Morrinhos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Morrinhos in this Goiano 2 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morrinhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aparecida EC
30%
Draws
39%
Morrinhos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morrinhos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Morrinhos haven't matched Aparecida EC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Goiano 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Morrinhos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 16%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida EC Morrinhos
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2021 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
2:0
Oct 14, 2021 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Morrinhos
0:3
Sep 28, 2019 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Morrinhos
4:1
Sep 3, 2019 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
3:1
Jul 24, 2013 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida EC 31 / 100
Morrinhos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida EC Morrinhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Aparecida EC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Morrinhos has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Aparecida EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida EC VS Morrinhos
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida EC

(Home)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
Page 1 of 7

Morrinhos

(Away)
14 Sept
Morrinhos
2 : 1
Trindade
09 Sept
Tupy FC
2 : 1
Morrinhos
05 Sept
Morrinhos
1 : 1
Goianesia
30 Aug
Morrinhos
1 : 3
Tupy FC
26 Aug
Trindade
2 : 2
Morrinhos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goiatuba EC 10 7 1 2 15:5 22
2 Morrinhos 10 6 2 2 14:7 20
3 Inhumas 10 5 2 3 14:6 17
4 Anapolina 10 4 1 5 17:14 13
5 Goiania 10 3 4 3 12:9 13
6 Aparecida EC 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2022 (Main)