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Aparecida EC vs Morrinhos

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Morrinhos in this Goiano 2 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morrinhos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aparecida EC
30%
Draws
34%
Morrinhos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aparecida EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Morrinhos haven't matched Aparecida EC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aparecida EC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Goiano 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Morrinhos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aparecida EC Clean Sheet 20%
Morrinhos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aparecida EC Morrinhos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2021 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
2:0
Oct 14, 2021 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Morrinhos
0:3
Sep 28, 2019 Goiano 2
Aparecida EC vs Morrinhos
4:1
Sep 3, 2019 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
3:1
Jul 24, 2013 Goiano 2
Morrinhos vs Aparecida EC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida EC 36 / 100
Morrinhos 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aparecida EC Morrinhos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morrinhos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Aparecida EC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Aparecida EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida EC VS Morrinhos
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida EC

(Home)
15 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Guanabara City
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Aparecida EC
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Oct
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
1 : 0
Aparecida EC
18 Oct
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Pires do Rio
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Morrinhos

(Away)
30 Jul
Morrinhos
2 : 2
Gremio Anapolis
27 Jul
Rio Verde
1 : 1
Morrinhos
20 Jul
Morrinhos
1 : 0
Ipora
13 Jul
Trindade
2 : 1
Morrinhos
09 Jul
Morrinhos
0 : 1
Tupy FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Goiatuba EC1071215:522
2Morrinhos1062214:720
3Inhumas1052314:617
4Anapolina1041517:1413
5Goiania1034312:913
6Aparecida EC1000104:350
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2022 (Main)