Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Aparecida

1 - 0

FC Alpendorada

Our Tip

Match Events

90'

Zidane

(Penalty)

90'

Fabio Rodrigo

90'

Freitas

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Aparecida and FC Alpendorada finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aparecida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Aparecida

22%

Draws

60%

FC Alpendorada

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Alpendorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Aparecida haven't matched FC Alpendorada's recent run of results.
60% — that's where the model lands on FC Alpendorada taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Aparecida Clean Sheet 11%

FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aparecida	FC Alpendorada
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	4	11
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.5	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Aparecida vs FC Alpendorada

1:0

Aug 10, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

FC Alpendorada vs Aparecida

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aparecida 18 / 100

FC Alpendorada 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aparecida FC Alpendorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aparecida's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Alpendorada conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Aparecida has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aparecida VS FC Alpendorada

1.5 Goals Scored 1.25

2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aparecida

(Home)

18 Apr

Cinfaes

5 : 2

Aparecida

12 Apr

Aparecida

4 : 1

Florgrade

04 Apr

Leca

5 : 1

Aparecida

22 Mar

Aparecida

3 : 1

SC Vila Real

15 Mar

Rebordosa

3 : 1

Aparecida

Page 1 of 6

FC Alpendorada

(Away)

18 Apr

FC Alpendorada

3 : 4

GD Resende

12 Apr

SC Salgueiros

0 : 2

FC Alpendorada

04 Apr

FC Alpendorada

0 : 1

Beira Mar

22 Mar

Anadia

0 : 3

FC Alpendorada

15 Mar

FC Alpendorada

1 : 0

CD Gouveia

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rebordosa	26	17	7	2	41:17	58
2	Leca	26	14	9	3	50:23	51
3	Cinfaes	26	10	10	6	33:21	40
4	Beira Mar	26	10	8	8	30:22	38
5	FC Alpendorada	26	9	11	6	30:22	38
6	Florgrade	26	9	10	7	28:28	37
7	Vila Mea	26	7	13	6	29:28	34
8	Uniao Lamas	26	9	6	11	27:33	33
9	SC Salgueiros	26	7	11	8	20:19	32
10	Anadia	26	7	9	10	27:33	30
11	Aparecida	26	9	4	13	36:51	28
12	GD Resende	26	6	10	10	27:31	28
13	SC Vila Real	26	5	12	9	23:30	27
14	CD Gouveia	26	1	4	21	14:57	7

Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)