Sport Picks
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
Albania
Albanian Cup 2022/2023 Stadiumi Loni Papuciu, Fier 
Match Events
9'
9'
Shehu E.
40'
40'
Ndubuisi E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Apolonia Fier
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Apolonia Fier come out ahead of Beselidhja Lezha on wins alone.
- Model gives Apolonia Fier a 90% chance of winning this.
- Apolonia Fier have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Apolonia Fier, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Apolonia Fier have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 18%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Apolonia Fier | Beselidhja Lezha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.25 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2025 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:1
Dec 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
1:2
Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Albanian Cup
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Apolonia Fier Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndubuisi E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13
Beselidhja Lezha Compare
Top Goalscorer Shehu E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Apolonia Fier 85 / 100
Beselidhja Lezha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Apolonia Fier Beselidhja Lezha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Beselidhja Lezha conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Beselidhja Lezha lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Apolonia Fier's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Apolonia Fier VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Apolonia Fier
(Home) 03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0 Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0 Apolonia Fier
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03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
21 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 0 Lushnja
14 Mar
Apolonia Fier
0 : 1 Skenderbeu Korca
28 Feb
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Pogradeci
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Beselidhja Lezha
(Away) 15 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
16 Oct
KF Valbona
1 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3 AF Elbasani
18 May
Korabi Peshkopi
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
07 May
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3 Flamurtari
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
16 Oct
KF Valbona
1 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
18 May
Korabi Peshkopi
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
23 Apr
Apolonia Fier
3 : 1 Beselidhja Lezha
01 Apr
Burreli
0 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Pogradeci-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis-
Flamurtari-
TBD-
TBD-
Vllaznia-
Besa Kavaje-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi-
KF Oriku-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizani-
Maliqi-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca-
Shkumbini Peqin-
TBD-
TBD-
KF Egnatia-
Burreli-
TBD-
TBD-
Tomori Berat-
KS Devolli5
Librazhd1
TBD-
Laci-
Butrinti Sarande-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana-
Vora-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastrioti-
Lushnja-
TBD-
TBD-
Terbuni Puka-
Koplik3
Murlani0
TBD-
KF Tirana-
Turbina Cerrik-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak-
Luzi-
TBD-
TBD-
Teuta-
Beselidhja Lezha-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier-
Laberia FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kukesi-
1/16-finals
Pogradeci1
Bylis10
Flamurtari2
Vllaznia4
Besa Kavaje1
Korabi Peshkopi4
KF Oriku0
Partizani2
Maliqi1
Skenderbeu Korca8
Shkumbini Peqin0
KF Egnatia6
Burreli2
Tomori Berat5
KS Devolli0
Laci7
Butrinti Sarande0
Dinamo Tirana4
Vora0
Kastrioti1
Lushnja4
Terbuni Puka3
Koplik2
KF Tirana5
Turbina Cerrik1
Erzeni Shijak6
Luzi0
Teuta2
Beselidhja Lezha1
Apolonia Fier2
Laberia FC0
Kukesi5
1/8-finals
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Korabi Peshkopi1
Partizani6
Skenderbeu Korca1
KF Egnatia2
Tomori Berat2
Laci5
Dinamo Tirana1
Kastrioti3
Lushnja0
KF Tirana4
Erzeni Shijak1
Teuta2
Apolonia Fier0
Kukesi5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia3
Partizani2
KF Egnatia3
Laci0
Kastrioti3
KF Tirana6
Teuta3
Kukesi2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia2
KF Tirana3
Teuta0
Final
KF Egnatia1
KF Tirana0