Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aracaju FC vs Socorro

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Aracaju FC and Socorro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aracaju FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aracaju FC
6%
Draws
90%
Socorro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Socorro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Socorro's 2 goals per match outpaces what Aracaju FC have produced (0.88).
  • Win probability leans Socorro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aracaju FC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aracaju FC Clean Sheet 10%
Socorro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aracaju FC Socorro
Matches Played 14 18
Wins 6 6
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Sergipano 3
Socorro vs Aracaju FC
7:0
Oct 1, 2024 Sergipano 2
Aracaju FC vs Socorro
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Sergipano 2
Socorro vs Aracaju FC
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aracaju FC 10 / 100
Socorro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aracaju FC Socorro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socorro has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aracaju FC scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Aracaju FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aracaju FC VS Socorro
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SE870113:121
2Atletico Central860217:718
3Aracaju FC850314:1015
4CS Maruinense81165:134
5Socorro80171:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju871016:422
2Barra SE861119:419
3Santa Cruz SE830512:159
4Cotinguiba81167:144
5Socorrense81161:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Pedrinhas860220:918
2Independente SE834112:1113
3Riachao833211:712
4Amadense831415:1810
5AD Boquinhense80265:182
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Frei Paulistano861121:319
2Boca Junior851214:816
3Estanciano EC831411:1210
4Sete de Junho82156:157
5Botafogo ASF81253:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE861123:619
2Caninde851214:1016
3Forca Jovem Aquidaba840416:1012
4Propria823311:149
5Coritiba SE80176:301