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Araguaina vs Miracema EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

2 - 1
FT
Miracema EC Logo

Miracema EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 game between Araguaina and Miracema EC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araguaina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Araguaina
30%
Draws
31%
Miracema EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Araguaina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Araguaina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Araguaina here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 20%
Miracema EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araguaina Miracema EC
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2006 Tocantinense
Miracema EC vs Araguaina
1:3
Apr 24, 2005 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Miracema EC
2:1
Mar 25, 2005 Tocantinense
Miracema EC vs Araguaina
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araguaina 85 / 100
Miracema EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araguaina Miracema EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miracema EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Araguaina found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Araguaina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Araguaina VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Araguaina

(Home)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 7

Miracema EC

(Away)
26 Apr
Tocantinopolis
8 : 0
Miracema EC
23 Apr
Miracema EC
0 : 0
Alvorada
20 Apr
Miracema EC
0 : 4
Colinas
01 Apr
Miracema EC
1 : 3
Araguaina
29 Mar
Interporto
1 : 2
Miracema EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)