Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aragvelebi vs FC Tbilisi 2025

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Aragvelebi Logo

Aragvelebi

0 - 4
FT
FC Tbilisi 2025 Logo

FC Tbilisi 2025

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kartvelishvili D.
54' Event
Latsabidze T.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Deisadze I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with FC Tbilisi 2025 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Aragvelebi
6%
Draws
90%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Tbilisi 2025

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • FC Tbilisi 2025 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Tbilisi 2025, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aragvelebi Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aragvelebi FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 1 31
Wins 0 21
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 3
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 4 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Aragvelebi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aragvelebi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deisadze I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kartvelishvili D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aragvelebi 10 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aragvelebi FC Tbilisi 2025

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Aragvelebi scored in 0% of their last 1 games.

FC Tbilisi 2025 let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

FC Tbilisi 2025's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aragvelebi VS FC Tbilisi 2025
0 Goals Scored 2.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aragvelebi

(Home)
26 Jun
Aragvelebi
0 : 4
FC Tbilisi 2025

FC Tbilisi 2025

(Away)
26 Jul
FC Tbilisi 2025
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
26 Jun
Aragvelebi
0 : 4
FC Tbilisi 2025
21 Jun
FC Gardabani
1 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
15 Jun
FC Tbilisi 2025
7 : 1
Betlemi Keda
28 May
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 2
FC Tbilisi 2025
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Guria1
Dinamo Tbilisi0
Kolkheti 19130
Dusheti1
Samtredia2
Shturmi1
Margveti 20061
Iberia 19993
WIT Georgia2
Samgurali3
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
Gori1
Bolnisi0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi0
Dila Gori1
Orbi1
Dinamo Batumi4
Iberia 1999 20
Telavi1
Iveria Khashuri1
Torpedo Kutaisi3
Merani Martvili1
Odishi 19192
FC Tbilisi 20250
FC Rustavi1
Dinamo Tbilisi 21
Spaeri5
Basa0
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Samtskhe1
Gagra2
1/8-finals
Guria-
Dusheti-
Samtredia-
Iberia 1999-
Samgurali-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Gori-
Dila Gori-
Dinamo Batumi-
Telavi-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Odishi 1919-
FC Rustavi-
Spaeri-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Gagra-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-