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Araioses vs Americano Bacabal

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 game between Araioses and Americano Bacabal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Araioses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Araioses
30%
Draws
19%
Americano Bacabal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Araioses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Americano Bacabal haven't matched Araioses's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Araioses taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Araioses Clean Sheet 20%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araioses Americano Bacabal
Matches Played 10 23
Wins 7 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 0 16
Goals Scored 1.3 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.3 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Maranhense 2
Araioses vs Americano Bacabal
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araioses 85 / 100
Americano Bacabal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araioses Americano Bacabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araioses Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araioses scored in 90% of their last 10 games.

Americano Bacabal let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Recent resilience: Araioses stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Araioses VS Americano Bacabal
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araioses

(Home)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Timon EC (MA)
1 : 1
Araioses
18 Jul
Araioses
1 : 0
Timon EC (MA)
15 Jul
Araioses
2 : 0
Cordino EC
11 Jul
Cordino EC
1 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 2

Americano Bacabal

(Away)
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
10 Jun
Araioses
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
01 Jun
Americano Bacabal
0 : 1
Expressinho
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)