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Araklispor vs Tarsus

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
45' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Tarsus in this TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tarsus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Araklispor
15%
Draws
85%
Tarsus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarsus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Araklispor at 1.1 per game, Tarsus at 0.89.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Araklispor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Araklispor Clean Sheet 20%
Tarsus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Araklispor Tarsus
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 1.1 0.89
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2012 3. Lig Group 3
Araklispor vs Tarsus
1:3
Oct 16, 2011 3. Lig Group 3
Tarsus vs Araklispor
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Araklispor 85 / 100
Tarsus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Araklispor Tarsus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araklispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarsus let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Araklispor scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Tarsus registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tarsus
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Araklispor

(Home)
12 May
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 1
Araklispor
05 May
Araklispor
1 : 3
Siirtspor
29 Apr
Afyonkarahisaspor
4 : 2
Araklispor
22 Apr
Araklispor
0 : 2
Darica Genclerbirligi
15 Apr
Yozgatspor
4 : 0
Araklispor
Page 1 of 6

Tarsus

(Away)
27 Apr
Tarsus
1 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
21 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Tarsus
14 Apr
Tarsus
2 : 5
Edirnespor Genclik
07 Apr
Kepez Bld.
9 : 0
Tarsus
03 Apr
Tarsus
0 : 5
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatayspor 36 22 6 8 55:29 72
2 Tarsus 36 20 5 11 62:41 65
3 Sancaktepe 36 16 11 9 54:38 59
4 Siirtspor 36 16 10 10 43:34 58
5 Karacabey Bld. 36 15 12 9 51:39 57
6 Darica Genclerbirligi 36 14 11 11 50:42 53
7 Aydinspor 36 14 11 11 43:36 53
8 Erzurumspor FK 36 15 8 13 46:42 53
9 Beykoz Ishakli Spor 36 14 11 11 49:46 53
10 Pazarspor 36 14 11 11 44:45 53
11 Yozgatspor 36 13 12 11 45:43 51
12 Dardanelspor 36 11 13 12 30:31 46
13 Kemerspor 2003 36 10 15 11 31:34 45
14 Beylerbeyi SK 36 11 11 14 39:40 44
15 Ankara Demirspor 36 11 9 16 42:47 42
16 Diyarbakir Kayapinar 36 9 11 16 34:46 38
17 Afyonkarahisaspor 36 9 10 17 38:50 37
18 Araklispor 36 8 8 20 36:64 32
19 Carsambaspor 36 4 7 25 25:70 19
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)